National Broadband Network Revisited

by Justin on Sep 09, 2010

NBN StimulusIt looks as though, barring a collapse of the new minority Labor government, Australians are going to have high speed internet via the National Broadband Network (NBN). To secure the support of two independents, Julia Gillard literally committed billions of dollars to build the fibre-optic equivalent of 'roads to nowhere': broadband for rural Australia. This will likely cost Australians over $2,000 each before the monthly access and home installation fees are even considered.

Now, most of the arguments for the NBN are that this is a 'once in a lifetime' opportunity that we have to take; the future productivity gains that Australia will enjoy will propel us to the forefront of global research and development. They say that the private sector is too short sighted to make the investment themselves and that you need government to take the initiative on these sorts of massive infrastructure upgrades. But this argument ignores why private sector broadband infrastructure investment might be lacking - government created costs such as regulation, anti-trust laws, legal monopolies and policy uncertainty, then of course normal business risks such as viable returns, potential uptake, alternatives, availability of more economical technology and so on. For the sake of brevity, let's ignore those for now and instead take a look the benefits of government undertaking this investment on behalf of Australians.

We know that the only way to create real wealth is through production. Will the NBN aid in increasing production? Quite possibly. Government investment (which is what the NBN is classified as so as to avoid showing up in the deficit) can aid in the production of more goods. Faster internet will no doubt help certain businesses and enhance research capabilities. But to quote Mencken, government can help boost production in the same way a doctor can "...claim the right, every time he is called in to prescribe for a bellyache or a ringing in the ears, to raid the family silver, use the family tooth-brushes, and execute the droit de seigneur upon the housemaid."

Government investment, while possibly having some benefits, mostly results in the destruction of wealth and capital. All investment undertaken by the government could be performed more cheaply and efficiently by individual firms. If they do not undertake the investment - excluding the government-created barriers mentioned before - it is because the private sector uses market prices to determine which projects need to be undertaken and when instead of basing decisions on politics and bureaucratic decree.

The NBN is going to create another state-sponsored monopolistic utility insulated from competition through law along with the usual mountain of bureaucratic regulation of pricing structures and investment options, thereby greatly limiting the freedom of markets. Consumers will lose the ability to choose their provider or type of service and the telecommunication companies will lose their freedom to determine what to charge and what infrastructure to invest in (then again, they do not exactly have complete freedom in this regard today!).

The broadband access in rural, low-density areas that Julia Gillard has promised the independents is in no way profitable and will waste billions of dollars to subsidise even more urban sprawl (one wonders what the pattern of land use would be today if such "universal" subsidies - free roads, water, electricity, broadband and so on - never existed?). I can only imagine what the true cost per household for this rural broadband network is going to be! The poor taxpayer is going to be slugged yet again for another scheme that likely adds little productive value when compared to something far cheaper like satellite internet for rural communities. The rhetoric used to justify the NBN, both by the government and the independents, sounds remarkably similar to the pronouncements the Soviet planners used to make to justify their fancy paved roads through Siberia; and boy did those roads pay dividends for the average Russian!

This is just another example of government providing monopoly grants in exchange for "universal service," subsidising rural and residential customers at the expense of urban and business users. I suppose as soon as you artificially concoct rights like that everyone has an invented right to services regardless of location then broadband was the next inevitable step. I wonder what will be next, the right to free universal dental care and dental clinics out in the bush? Don't worry, the Greens are on that one.

ADDENDUM

I should probably add that the Liberal party alternative is hardly better. Malcolm Turnbull, in NBN - The Wrong Policy for Australia, highlights the problems that all governments have when determining the appropriate policies. He makes some valid points that are similar to the ones I have made above, such as it is too expensive, it will raise costs for consumers, value-add will not be as much as the investment cost and the fact that Canberra cannot run an efficient business (look at any public utility for evidence of this one!).

Those reasons are all well and good, but it is one of the final points, where Malcolm discusses opportunity cost, that demonstrates what Ludwig von Mises pointed out decades ago: socialists (government) cannot calculate and therefore cannot allocate resources optimally - they are merely "...groping in the dark."

Malcolm argues that "...less public capital will be available for other better understood and equally or more pressing areas: new and improved hospitals and schools, upgrades and extensions to roads and railways, or better public transport." Malcolm is correct, but how does he know what the appropriate allocation of capital should be? It is simple: he does not. At best it would be an educated guess, the result of some taxpayer-funded 'study' that highlights congestion on certain roads or a lack of beds in certain hospitals. At worst, his arbitrary allocation of capital would under-perform the NBN.

What we need is to cease all of this time-consuming, pointless debate on how the public's money should be spent, from whom it should be taken from and to whom it should go and instead give the power back to individuals acting in their own self-interest to satisfy their own ends. Hayek once said that "...it is a dispute as to whether planning is to be done centrally, by one authority for the whole economic system, or is to be divided among many individuals." We need to move away from centralised bureaucracy where decision-making is virtually arbitrary and move towards a system of profit and loss, of monetary calculation, where the demands of consumers are what determines which investments are undertaken and whose functioning is not sabotaged by government interference!

Apologies

by Justin on Sep 08, 2010

who cares?Over the last few days (as nothing of significance was happening around the country) we took it upon ourselves to undertake some 'spring cleaning' behind the scenes, upgrading to the latest software and purging some spam. As a result of this upgrade, the site was down for a night and some accounts were deleted. If you find that your account no longer works then we do apologise and must have somehow mistaken it for spam. Feel free to register for a new one.

If you notice anything unusual or if something has stopped working please let us know. Thanks.

Not So Optimistic

by Justin on Sep 02, 2010

I must be one of the few people who interpreted Australia's recent GDP growth as a warning sign rather than a positive return to 'trend'. Sure, on the surface 3.3% YoY GDP growth (1.2% in the June quarter) looks impressive, but it loses its gloss when we examine what contributed to this 'growth'.

The four main contributors to growth were: government spending; household consumption; dwelling investment; and net exports. Let's take a look at each one of these 'positives':

Government Spending

Government spending, while increasing GDP, does not add anything productive or generate any wealth in the economy. It merely delays the necessary restructuring process and in fact further distorts it, allocating resources to areas determined by bureaucratic decree rather than market forces (consumers). Real income can only be increased by working harder or more efficiently, saving more, investing more, and producing more. Government spending detracts from all of those requirements. Thus, the 'positive' contribution to GDP by government spending is, on the contrary, a negative for future growth prospects in Australia.

Household Consumption

Consumption spending was the largest contributor to GDP growth, supported by a decline in the savings rate and heavy discounting by retailers desperate to offload inventories in this environment. Prey, how is a further decline in savings and more consumption a positive for the economy? It is real savings that are the only road to prosperity. Consumption is nothing but a destroyer of wealth and, while essential (why work productively if you cannot reward yourself?), should not be praised as a driver of 'growth'. It should be recognised for what it is, a consumption of scarce resources that generates zero wealth and generates no real income to the economy. This, like government spending, should be recorded as a negative for future growth prospects and not something to celebrate in a time when Australians are heavily indebted and consuming above their means.

Dwelling Investment

Housing, like the above two 'investments', cannot increase the wealth of a nation in and of itself. It is consumption, albeit more distant consumption, and not a generator of wealth. While it can enable wealth generating activities (people need a place to live so they do not die!) and while it may generate income for it's proprietor, it adds nothing to the revenue of the nation as a whole. To quote Adam Smith, ..."revenue, however, which is derived from such things [housing] must always be ultimately drawn from some other source of revenue." More consumption spending in the ponzi-scheme that is Australian dwelling investment is NOT something that should be celebrated!

Net Exports

This is the only positive to come from the recent data and I remain skeptical as to how long it can continue. All of the above 'positive' contributors to GDP must, by their very nature, derive their revenue from 'true' production, which in Australia's case is resources. Australia is a resource-rich, commodity based economy that has so far avoided the resources 'curse' by following five steps to success (relative to countries that have fallen into the resources trap): (1) low taxes; (2) balanced budgets; (3) free trade; (4) a respect for property rights; and (5) monetary restraint. Unfortunately, we seem to be moving further and further away from all 5, something that will be exacerbated if Labor win another term. How long can the world (read: China) sustain her demand for Australian commodities? Only time will tell, but the game is getting closer to running out and if Australia continues to move away from the five points above, when time is eventually called on the resources boom, the illusory prosperity in Australia will come crashing down. If the mining boom ends there is only so much consumption of the existing capital stock that is possible and it certainly cannot go on forever. As Adam Smith said, "...there is a great deal of ruin in a nation," implying that it takes a lot of waste (government) to ruin a wealthy nation with a large capital stock. Sadly, we are moving further and further in that direction as the resources boom hides the true effect government policy is having on Australia.

This is why I am not celebrating the recent GDP data in the same way that the majority of political and economic pundits are.