The latest GDP figures and the responses from our 'leaders' reminds me of Thomas Dolby's 1982 song, "She Blinded Me With Science," referring of course to the colloquial British concept of deliberately confusing someone (in this case, multiple people) by giving the impression of highly complex knowledge. Mr. Rudd dropped this today in response to a 0.4% growth in the GDP figure:
"Today's figures demonstrate that the Government's economic stimulus is working and it is positioning Australia as the best performing economy in the world," he said.
"Had we pursued the strategy recommended by [Opposition Leader] Mr Turnbull - not to invest and not to provide cash payments to pensioners, carers and others - Australia would be in recession today."
Even if the stimulus is the reason GDP recorded a small gain (it's quite probable), that's not necessarily a good thing. GDP is one of those figures that measures all spending, regardless of how destructive it is. In other words, the government could just as well build hundreds of battleships, have a fight to the end in the middle of the ocean until one remained, and GDP figures would record impressive gains thanks to all of that spending. The question we need to ask is this: are we wealthier for it? Are we wealthier for the billions of dollars that were squandered on plasma TVs and the like instead of being saved and invested productively? When I say productively, I mean expenditure for the purpose of increasing future consumption, an expansion in the capital base. Government expenditure -- and 'stimulus' payments, are usually (if not completely), squandered on unproductive expenditure, or destruction of the capital base. While both of these will show up in the GDP figures, only one actually improves the wealth of the nation.
So while the politicians can slap each other on the back and take "credit" for further destruction of real wealth, try to look beyond the statistics, most of which have a built in bias towards disguising the true cost of government and over-counting benefits.


