Archive

The full Aussienomics archive of short economic notes and long-form essays.

2025
The RBA's inflation trap
Long-form essay
How monetary easing and unchecked government spending may threaten Australia's fragile recovery.
This update has become something of a weekly policy analysis wrap, given the flurry of announcements we’re getting ahead of a federal election that now looks like it’ll be held on or before 12 April (today is the deadline for a 29 March election to be called).
Can we fix housing?
Long-form essay
Decades of policy decisions have strangled construction productivity, making housing increasingly unaffordable in Australia.
A hawkish cut
Long-form essay
The RBA has cautiously cut rates, but was it a mistake? Implications for the federal election and a warning from America.
The Albanese government dropped a policy bomb on Sunday: a complete ban on foreign investors and temporary residents purchasing established homes for two years. I would write something about it, but I already did when Dutton proposed the same policy a couple of weeks ago.
How to lose a state election
Long-form essay
Western Australia's upcoming election promises bigger subsidies for roads and rail, but unchecked spending fuels congestion, rewards sprawl, and leaves taxpayers with the bill.
How to hurt the very people you claim you're trying to help.
Sometime this week US President Trump is set to unveil reciprocal tariffs “that match the duties imposed by other countries”. Australia has very few tariffs left these days and has had a trade agreement with the US since 2005, so presumably won’t be targeted (the agricultural exemptions were inserted to protect US farmers, not Australian).
The Mar-a-Lago Accord
Long-form essay
Could a global currency accord be Trump's tariff end-game?
The fallout from the first Trump 2.0 tariffs has continued into the week, with the latest casualty (other than global equities) being the risky crypto that had been bid up on what was ‘supposed’ to be a market-friendly Trump government: