Justin Pyvis
Justin has a PhD in Economics and over 20 years of experience in applied economic, policy and investment analysis with the WA Treasury and AECOM in Perth, and Aletheia Capital in Hong Kong. He writes Aussienomics in between freelance gigs and work on a book covering the policies that create the conditions for prosperity.
2024
Jim Chalmers should do less talking and more reforming; Treasury Secretary Steven Kennedy should heed his own advice; China's leaders are getting desperate; taxing unrealised gains on Super is a bad idea; and how to fix the housing crisis.
Australia's per capita recession is the inevitable consequence of past policy decisions, where attempts to curb inflation clash with the need for economic stability, leaving households and young people bearing the brunt of a painful economic adjustment.
The CFMEU's recent scandals expose the risks of unchecked union power in Australia, where special privileges can lead to corruption, stifled competition, and costly consequences for the economy.
The RBA is unlikely to move on rates any time soon; what a NSW gold mine can tell us about future investment; there is no next China; be careful what you wish for, wage disclosure edition; and most climate policies don't work.
Australia's economic outlook hinges on shifting global supply chains and iron ore demand, as China's manufacturing dominance faces challenges from emerging competitors and geopolitical tensions.
While quotas may seem like an easy fix for Australia's international student influx, a dynamic fee-based system would more efficiently balance demand, distribute benefits equitably, and avoid the perverse incentives of arbitrary caps.
Price gouging is (almost) always good; the EU's tariffs could have been worse; culture beats policy when it comes to fertility; time for fiscal responsibility; and the reality of industrial policy.
The RBA's conflicting statements on uncertainty and accountability expose a dangerous pattern of misguided forward guidance and unlearned lessons, threatening its credibility and effectiveness in controlling inflation.
Kamala Harris' recent policy proposals are equivalent to the four horsemen of a policy-pocalypse: nothing but misguided attempts to address economic issues that will fail to achieve their stated goals, leading to unintended consequences.
Albo would fail Econ 101; are we in another iron ore winter; what does Raygun have in common with the RBA; Australia's employment recession; could you be an Olympian; China's economic crisis; and how you're able to drink milk.