Trade

2025

Would you choose cheaper medicines today, or incentives for innovation that could save millions of lives in the future?

This isn't a trade war—it's a war on trade.

The best case for Trump's tariffs Apr 27

A tug-of-war between tariff hard-liners and pro-trade advisors leaves jittery markets waiting on Trump's next make-or-break reversal.

Peter Dutton, Tradie shortage, Donald-25 mind virus, and Economists against tariffs Apr 23

No doubt many of you are still enjoying a long Easter/ANZAC Day break, but for those of you pining for some economic news, here are a few bits of interest that caught my eye this week—starting with my comprehensive essay on Peter Dutton.

The Trump Put lives on, A rate cut in May, Batteries for everyone, We're still reliant on luck, and Who drives in Australia. Apr 10

Just like that, and the tariff scare is over—or is it? Global markets rallied 5-10% yesterday because Trump, in the face of a near-certain recession and equity and bond market carnage, backed off and hit pause.

Investment will suffer in the age of Trumpian uncertainty Apr 8

Trump's unpredictability threatens global investment with chaos, zero-sum thinking, and rent-seeking, even if he winds back his tariffs.

Trump isn't playing 4D chess Apr 6

He just really likes tariffs.

Government by AI Apr 4

Did the Trump administration use AI to devise its tariffs?

Trump's Liberation Day Apr 2

The US will impose a minimum 10% tariff on all of its trading partners, including Australia.

The unwanted Budget, Don't blame Alfred for inflation, Productivity not protectionism, You don't need six figures to afford rent, Dutton's dangerous idea, and Solar's Achilles' heel Mar 23

Please note that I’m travelling internationally this week and will have limited access to a computer, so Aussienomics will be taking a short breather ahead of the inevitable chaos that will be the run-up to the federal election, which—if called by the end of this month—could be held as soon as 3 May.