Trade

The best case scenario for Trump; the end of polling; AI's first major victim; breaking the science cartel; and incentives matter, retirement edition.

President Donald Trump 2.0; cutting HECS debt is a bad idea; what is the right size of government; Australia's tobacco and vape wars; AI (probably) won't take your job; and Europe against change.

The US election is happening right now, with the outcome to have potentially significant implications for Australia.

As the US election approaches, the risks of renewed inflation and unpredictable fiscal policies could complicate the global economic landscape, with significant implications for Australia.

While the US economy is hitting all the right notes—low unemployment, stable inflation, and strong wage growth—massive deficits and reckless policy proposals could tip the scales.

Australia's economic outlook hinges on shifting global supply chains and iron ore demand, as China's manufacturing dominance faces challenges from emerging competitors and geopolitical tensions.

Russia's booming consumer spending will eventually crash back down to earth, following a historical pattern seen in times of war and disaster, including the 14th century's Black Death.

Did we ever really have neoliberalism; inflation is in a sticky spot; Hong Kong is just another mainland city; where are the female managers; Biden will not win another term; and it's not too late for nuclear.

Despite its proximity to the US and abundant natural resources, Canada's economy is hampered by inter-provincial trade barriers, powerful domestic cartels, and declining productivity, leaving it vulnerable to global trade tensions.

Whether it's being sold under the banner of a "New Paradigm", "new centrism", "neopopulism", or a "Future Made in Australia", industrial policy will lead to less growth, insipid labour productivity, and a much poorer and more vulnerable Australia.