Trade
Trump isn't playing 4D chess
He just really likes tariffs.
Justin Pyvis
Justin has a PhD in Economics and over 20 years of experience in applied economic, policy and investment analysis with the WA Treasury and AECOM in Perth, and Aletheia Capital in Hong Kong.
Artificial intelligence
Hot Take: Government by AI
Did the Trump administration use AI to devise its tariffs?
Trade
Trump's Liberation Day
The US will impose a minimum 10% tariff on all of its trading partners, including Australia.
China
Xi Jinping's pivot
Xi Jinping's market pivot aims to resuscitate China's economy, but bloated subsidies and a global trade war might choke the recovery.
Budget
The unwanted Budget, Don't blame Alfred for inflation, Productivity not protectionism, You don't need six figures to afford rent, Dutton's dangerous idea, and Solar's Achilles' heel
Please note that I'm travelling internationally this week and will have limited access to a computer, so Aussienomics will be taking a short breather ahead of the inevitable chaos that will be the run-up to the federal election, which—if called by the end of this month—could
Environment
The end of climate decadence
Economic reality trumps climate dreams in a world where money is no longer free.
Reform
Does Australia need a DOGE?
A DOGE won't fix Australia's productivity mess—it might just sink it deeper into the muck.
Trade
The Trump Slump, Full marks for Albo, Energy prices are telling us something, and Gittins it wrong on inflation (again)
The Trump Bump has officially become the Trump Slump, with the current US administration's incessant focus on tariffs contributing to one of their greatest tailspins of all time: The crash has been uniquely American: Markets are forward-looking—they reflect investor consensus of what's likely to happen
Insurance
Cyclone Alfred's insurance fallout
Insurance companies aren't 'ripping off' Australians, but navigating complex market forces and inflationary pressures.
Elections
Should Australia have four-year terms?
The timing of the upcoming election exposes the economic trade-offs between recurring polls and long-term policy stability.
Elections
The federal election, Trumpian uncertainty, Europe goes to war, and Australia's political productivity problem
Barring major cyclonic damage from Alfred as it barrels into Brisbane tomorrow morning—for those of you in its path, stay safe!—Albo appears all but certain to call an election on either Sunday or Monday, after the week's expenditure review committee (ERC) meetings were all reportedly cancelled.
Growth
Hot Take: Solid growth, hidden pressures
Australia's December quarter GDP was robust but there are plenty of gremlins lurking beneath the surface, with implications for inflation and interest rates.