Monetary policy

Jul
03
Why the RBA should hold steady

Why the RBA should hold steady

It's probably too late in the cycle to hike rates any further when what's desperately needed is tax, spending and regulatory reform.
9 min read
May
13
Image showing Albanese, Chalmers and Bullock.

An independent RBA is better than the alternative

An independent Reserve Bank of Australia is crucial for economic stability and low inflation. However, a big-spending Budget and attempts to politicise the central bank would jeopardise its independence, leading to higher inflation.
9 min read
May
06
What's up with Japan?

What's up with Japan?

The yen's collapse has made Japan a tourist hotspot, but it has also sparked crisis fears. While a full-blown crisis is unlikely due to Japan's relatively low interest costs and its ability to raise taxes, an ever-aging population and repeated policy missteps are only increasing the risks.
9 min read
Apr
04
A sticky, stagflationary mess

A sticky, stagflationary mess

Australia risks "sticky" inflation if real wages start to outpace productivity, requiring higher rates longer and job losses as businesses start to adjust on the employment rather than not wage margin. Continued fiscal deficits also fan future inflation risks.
10 min read
Feb
21
How to lose a truck load of cash

How to lose a truck load of cash

My recent FOI showed that the RBA Board was warned about the risks of QE but appeared to ignore those concerns, ultimately leading to huge losses with minimal benefits. The fiscal cost alone looks to be well over $50 billion, or more than $5,500 per household – a massive policy blunder.
9 min read
Feb
05
Miles off the mark

Miles off the mark

Queensland's Premier Steven Miles appears to be out of his depth. Last week he called for RBA rate cuts, and announced reviews into supermarket pricing and homelessness. On Sunday he released a rental package that risks making the situation worse.
7 min read